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CBO Reports: Health Care Reform Reduces Deficit Projections & Proposed Repeal Would Increase It

Details of the report can be seen at the Congressional Budget Office website here

(Andrew Taylor, Associated Press &
Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar, Associated Press)

President Barack Obama’s health care overhaul will shrink rather than increase the nation’s huge federal deficits over the next decade, Congress’ nonpartisan budget scorekeepers said Tuesday, supporting Obama’s contention in a major election-year dispute with Republicans.

About 3 million fewer uninsured people will gain health coverage because of last month’s Supreme Court ruling granting states more leeway, and that will cut the federal costs by $84 billion, the Congressional Budget Office said in the biggest changes from earlier estimates.

Republicans have insisted that “Obamacare” will actually raise deficits — by “trillions,” according to presidential candidate Mitt Romney. But that’s not so, the budget office said.

The office gave no updated estimate for total deficit reductions from the law, approved by Congress and signed by Obama in 2010. But it did estimate that Republican legislation to repeal the overhaul — passed recently by the House — would itself boost the deficit by $109 billion from 2013 to 2022.

“Repealing the (health care law) will lead to an increase in budget deficits over the coming decade, though a smaller one than previously reported,” budget office director Douglas Elmendorf said in a letter to House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio.

The law’s mix of spending cuts and tax increases would more than offset new spending to cover uninsured people, Elmendorf explained.

Tuesday’s budget projections were the first since the Supreme Court upheld most of the law last month but gave states the option of rejecting a planned expansion of Medicaid for their low-income residents. As a consequence, the budget office said the law will cover fewer uninsured people.

Thirty million uninsured people will be covered by 2022, or about 3 million fewer than projected this spring before the court ruling, the report said.
(Read the full story in the Houston Chronicle)

RELATED LINKS & COVERAGE:
Two Analyses Related to the Affordable Care Act (Congressional Budget Office)
CBO: Supreme Court Decision Cuts Cost of Healthcare Reform by $84B (The Hill)
CBO Reports On Impact Of Medicaid Ruling, Health Law Repeal Effort (Kaiser Health News)
CBO Guesstimates that the Supreme Court’s Impact on Obamacare is Modest (Forbes)
Doughnut Hole Drug Savings Hit $687M in 1st Half of 2012 (USA Today)

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